From CasinoArticles.com From The Frontlines
As you're looking through this week's schedule and you're trying to decide on which teams to bet on, it's always a good idea to look at the home dogs first. When you take the dog, there are three results that can occur in a game: the dog can win, In total, the home dogs are only 3-5 in the first two weeks of the season. So much for the power of the home dog so far, as a sample size I would say this is way too small to find a pattern. But not so fast, there are two home dogs worth watching in Week 3. Detroit is 2-0 and in tough against a very impressive looking Philadelphia team while the Cincinnati So what is it that powers the home dog? If you’re playing well as an underdog against a strong opponent, you just get that much more emotion out of the crowd and you get that much more fired up game. This is something that we take that into account when we set the line so that doesn’t really account for a 58% winning rate, so that doesn’t really cut it. Here are a few other sources of power:
But history tells us that dogs in general do not cover 58% of the time so these last three factors cannot be the only reason; perhaps the combination of all these factors produces a slight edge. It is my opinion that the most important factor may simply be that the betting public likes betting the road favorites so much that the spreads move an extra point (or more) in favor of the home dog and this accounts for the higher win Why do bettors love road favorites so much? I think it is simply a case of not taking home field advantage into consideration enough. Travel With college football it’s a little different. Because the teams control most of their schedule, you won’t find many 40-point road favorites. Teams don’t want to get embarrassed at home. The teams that aren’t as good will play more competitive teams at home, and will play the better teams on the road. While I cannot say that betting home dogs will give you winning plays with statistical certainty, I can say with certainty it will ensure you are betting against the bulk of bettors and that is usually a key to getting value. And speaking of value, here’s a scenario to consider: Baltimore at Cleveland in Week 1. That was one of the most lopsided games I’ve People lay extra points because they look at the line and think, “It’s only three points, they can cover that.” But it’s not three; Which brings to mind the point I want to cover is these games that are often referred to as “traps” by players after the home dog wins or covers. There is no such thing as a trap. We simply put out the line Now that we have a simple starting point with betting on Home Dogs, we can move onto the wonderful world of moneylines next week. The enjoyment of your wagering experience with us is my number one priority. Should you have any questions, concerns, or comments, I will personally ensure you are satisfied with your BoDog experience. Good luck with your wagers! rob@bodog.com Rob Gillespie President Sign up today at BoDog, CLICK HERE © Copyright 2001,2002 CasinoArticles.com |